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Posts Tagged ‘Automated Trading’

Call for Traders

August 28th, 2010

Here at Online Investing AI, we are dedicated to using new technology to develop Automated Trading systems. But there is one small problem with a purely programming approach. It does not allow us to leverage off the best trading strategies that people have already developed. That’s where you come in.

Are you a successful trader? Are you looking for ways of using new technology and Artificial Intelligence to improve your trading strategies? If the answer is yes, then we are looking for you.

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How to Prepare for Artificial Intelligence in Finance

June 15th, 2010

Whether it’s under the guise of high frequency trading or algorithmic trading or quant trading, advanced technology is becoming more accepted and implemented.

This technology includes artificial intelligence and machine learning.

There’s a good chance it’s trading at least a portion of your money right now.

Is this a good thing? Yes.

Is this a bad thing? Yes.

Could it be bad and good all at the same time? You bet.

The most important thing is be prepared for this revolution in finance. Here are a few ways to be prepared for artificial intelligence in finance.

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Expert Profile: Chenghui Cai on the Direction of Automated Trading

April 20th, 2010

One of the great things about this blog is meeting super-smart people. Chenghui Cai is one of those people. He’s also a nice guy, too! Chenghui is a quantitative researcher and the founder of AI Trading.org. It’s a great resource for people exploring machine learning, algorithmic trading, and automated trading. In 2007, Chenghui won third place in a Interactive Brokers trading competition. The system he developed for the competition gained over 40 percent in two months. (I’d take that!) I asked Chenghui to give us some insights on algorithmic trading and its future. If you’re interested in learning about what role AI (artificial intelligence) will play in finance, you’ll want to read on…

Online Investing AI: Where do you think Automated Trading is Heading?

Chenghui: Maybe later, we can discuss other topics, but first let me share some of my personal opinions on the big question: “Where do you think the future of Automated Trading is headed. Ben and other folks have very good points.(Editor’s note: you can read Ben Gimpert’s expert profile here and Jez Liberty’s profile here.)

I will tackle the question in a different angle. Actually, this question is too big for anyone, of course including me, to be 100 percent correct. I am a big fan of artificial intelligence (AI) which is a technology including machine learning, decision making under uncertainty, and other interesting approaches. I deeply believe that AI is the core of all technologies. Science, e.g., math, physics and biology, is a different story from technologies. It is so funny that AI is in fact a product of different sciences.

Assume that there is an autonomous agent/robot that is able to make decisions like human being through its abilities to learn, infer and create by simulating human being, and its computation power that human being is not comparable to. Then this agent is so-called of general AI. It can do anything that other technologies can achieve. That is why I believe AI is the core of all technologies. Put it simple, AI rather than other technologies is the core, because it is about intelligence that differs us from the rest of the world.

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Tiger Woods, Ben Roethlisberger and Your Investment Strategy

April 15th, 2010

pic by Keith Allison @ Flickr

Golf fans were riveted to coverage of Tiger Woods’ return to the Masters last week. Woods had banished himself from the sport while he worked out some marital issues and allowed a storm of a scandal to blow over.

Ben Roethlisberger, of the Pittsburgh Steelers, is still under scrutiny for a alleged sexual assault.

But it shouldn’t just be golfers and football fans who paid attention to this news. There’s a lesson for traders, too. These struggles can serve as a pretty apt analogy for a leading problem among investors.

It’s called trading promiscuity.Trading promiscuity occurs when an investor or trader has a perfectly good–and working–system that makes money and limits risk. But it’s just not sexy enough. Maybe it doesn’t make enough money. Maybe another system that the trader reads about is making more money.

So, you decide to change your trading strategy.

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Have you been Fooled by Randomness?

April 9th, 2010

Today I am finishing Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb, and I must tell you it is a pretty interesting book. Although his wandering and complicated style is over my head, he brings up some very interesting issues that are ignored in just about every other book I have read about trading.

It is particularly interesting for us because it explains many of the technical results that we have achieved during the development of Automated Trading systems. Nassim explains why backtesting is a poor approach at best, and downright fraudulent at worst. But this is really a subset of an idea that has been percolating inside my mind, and he has been able to explain it quite well. It is the idea of the religion of science.

What is the religion of science?

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What’s the Sharpe Ratio?

March 4th, 2010

pic by dizznbonn via Flickr Creative Commons

The trader’s Catch 22 is that high risk can lead to high returns. Oh, and high risk can also lead to devastating losses.

But the great trading dilemma is to figure out  how much return you’ll receive for the risks you take. One way to estimate this risk-reward ratio is by using the Sharpe ratio.

The Sharpe ratio is named after Nobel-prize winning economist William Sharpe.

The  ratio is calculated by subtracting the risk-free rate – such as that of the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond - from the rate of return for a portfolio and dividing the result by the standard deviation of the returns.

This may sound a little complicated, but compared to other ways of determining risk, the Sharpe Ratio is a snap.

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Expert Profiles: Jez Liberty Sees Vast Automated Trading Potential

February 23rd, 2010

Expert Profiles gives Automated and Algorithmic trading system developers and theorists a chance to introduce us to their concepts and strategies.

Our expert featured in this edition of Expert Profiles is Jez Liberty.

Jez is extremely passionate about Automated Trading and its technology. We’ve enjoyed Jez’s posts on Automated Trading at his blog, Au.Tra.Sy blog.

Here’s Jez’s interview:

What made you choose to develop Automated Trading systems?

I have a long-held fascination with the trading world and a passion for technology. So automated/mechanical trading system sits at an ideal crossroads for me and represents an exciting topic to work on.

Additionally the prospect of going into a corporate career never appealed to me; whereas automated trading systems can give you independence and more freedom (and hopefully better wealth).

What are the challenges of developing Automated Trading systems?

There are lot of information out there and it can be hard to know what to pick to get started. In my case, I started trying to automate Technical Analysis patterns with “brute force” backtesting/optimization, which did not prove successful (I am skeptical on the long-term profitability of that approach). Further down the line, I stepped back and got more interested in learning about the nature of the markets, statistics and money management. This led me to have a clear vision of how I could succeed in trading automated systems.

But developing and trading an automated trading system is also a long process, far from the get-rich-quick scheme, that many dubious salesmen would have you believe. So you have to put in some hard work. But the reward and payoff are definitely worth it!

Working on your own can also make you feel isolated. However, my blog and other blogs such as Online Investing are a great way to engage and collaborate with like-minded people.

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Expert Profiles: Ben Gimpert Discusses Algorithmic Trading

February 16th, 2010

This post is the first in a series of expert profiles that will give readers a better understanding of Automated–or Algorithmic–trading, as well as other trading technologies.

Our series starts with Ben Gimpert. Ben is a professional software developer and an expert in algorithmic trading. He offers keen insight to the current state of trading technology–and where it’s heading.

You can learn more about Ben and his technology at his site, Something Modern Logic.

What are some of the biggest challenges for Automated Traders and developers of Automated Trading systems?

The distinction between automated trading system developer and automated trader can be a blurry one. Where we draw the line hints at what I believe is the most difficult problem. Most trading systems, automated or otherwise, output time-sensitive signals that should be realized in the market. (i.e. “Go long S&P futures, and short volatility on gold right now.”) If a human trader manages the position once the entry is signaled, then the strategy will struggle with your typical human mental biases.

Managing the entire lifecycle of a trade with software is the primary difficulty and opportunity in automated trading. This means coding up more than a signal to enter a trade. Your automated system should specify precise position sizes, as well as stop-loss and take-profit levels. The risk and money management logic behind these decisions should look at a market’s volatility, the level of account equity, and important minutiae like contract multipliers and broker fees.

Ironically an automated trading system need not actually use a broker’s API! For example, a system that puts on a lot of risk might adversely signal the market with an exchange limit order. Instead a good automated trading system would specify a precise stop-loss and take-profit level that the human trader calls in as market swings. The real work in automated trading is in specifying the exact position size, stop-loss level, take-profit level, and maximum holding period — in addition to the entry signal. Next to those calculations, talking to the API is easy!

Is there room for small operators in the Automated Trading space or do the big banks and hedge funds have things wrapped up?

Absolutely. This is probably the most common myth in trading. “How can the little guy win, when a thousand overpaid MBAs are already working on this?” The assumption is wrong because investment banks and hedge funds are simply not that hip! As someone who spent years working in the trenches on trading floors in London, the average level of software engineering and artificial intelligence expertise is shockingly low. Bankers and hedge funds pay well because of the barrier to entry (jargon), because of the environment (hyper-competitive), and because of the exhaustion (long hours). The bonuses ain’t for elegant and efficient systems! The credit crisis has made this point more loudly than I ever might. Like any large organization, investment banks and hedge funds are bureaucratic and resistant to change.

There is also an argument that small can be an advantage, because some markets are too illiquid for the big players to care. If Goldman puts on $100m of risk in an obscure penny stock, the market will instantly move against them. Maybe the Goldman’s of the world have such good software systems that the marginal cost of trading across every potential market is zero. But I doubt it.

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How to Avoid Automated Trading Scams

February 9th, 2010

automated_trading

Automated Trading systems have a future in finance and we believe it’s a big future.

It’s already well underway. Automated Trading systems are managing billions of dollars worth of assets and making billions of dollars worth of trades for large financial concerns and hedge funds.

Eventually, these advanced trading systems will work their way into the hands of more individual traders and investors.

One major hurdle remains: companies can spend big bucks testing their systems. We have to trust the developers and, frankly, there are a lot of Automated Trading charlatans in the business.

To minimize the likelihood that you’re not being hosed by an scam artist posing as an Automated Trading developer, here are some due diligence tips.

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How Automated Trading Creates Massive Leverage

January 29th, 2010

The story of the 21st century will be the story of using technology to create leverage. Leverage is often used to describe weight and money. In the 20th century, leverage referred to massive machines that moved rocks, laid concrete, and shaped steel.

But there are other forms of leverage that technology can create.

By using technology to automate aspects of your life, you can create massive leverage. You’re using less time, while accomplishing more work.

Automated Trading is an example of how technology is creating leverage. In fact, Automated Trading creates four levels of leverage–four ways you can get more results out of the work you do.

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