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Posts Tagged ‘gas prices’

Mood Machine: How Google Reveals Our Hopes and Fears

December 17th, 2008


Google Zeitgeist

Google Zeitgeist charts for term “layaway” (top) and green-technology terms (bottom)

Tech Crunch recently reviewed the top searches on Google Zetigeist, an examination of popular keyword searches on the Internet search giant. The resulting post is astounding.

They also showed a few trends that appear to mirror the collective emotions behind keyword searches.

For example, the term, “Layaway” shows a profound jump in searches as the economy tanks and the Dow begins a precipitous drop. Layway is a term that would most likely appear because people are fearful of the economy and a fear that their access to credit would be stymied. The term was rarely searched during 2007. It skyrocketed in late 2008.

In another chart, as gas prices rise, so do searches for terms like “hybrid car” and “solar panel”; interestingly, the searches drop as prices fall. In fact, the descent seems to be in lock-step with the price of oil and the lower costs of gas at the pump.

Obviously, as Tech Crunch points out, this is beyond coincidence. This is a visualization of the spirit of its times. There’s another angle that’s a little more akin to how machines are slowly integrating into our life. Google’s Zeitgeist is more than another tool to understand the collective emotions; it’s the subtle interaction between collective human desire and machines.

We can only speculate what’s next.


Accelerating Technology, Online Investing AI , , , ,

High Gas Prices and the Media

July 7th, 2008

The recent run up in gas prices has created a bonanza for the media. The reason for this is that newspapers, online news outlets, and nightly news programming is 99% bad news. There is even a saying, “No news is good news.” I guess people say that because nearly all news distributed through the media is bad.

If I look at the top 3 news items on the front page of Yahoo right now, I see 3 pieces of bad news. The topics are:

  • A hostage and terrorism
  • Iran’s nuclear program and potential conflict
  • The price of oil and supply disruption

Consider this headline:

Oil drops sharply as worries about supply disruptions ease

In fact, they have even taken good news and turned it into bad news! The story is that the price of oil has gone down, but the headline focuses on what the problemcould be: supply disruptions. By focusing on potential future problems, this headline generates fear in the mind of the reader.

Why is the media always about bad news? Because bad news sells. If you walk by a newspaper stand and the headline says, “Nice weather today and everything is fine,” then you will probably keep walking. But it says, “Thousands at risk from flash floods and firestorms!” Now, they have given you a reason to buy the newspaper. We want to know what will happen to all those unfortunate people.

The challenge with negative media is that it has a powerful effect on its audience. Most people are totally unaware, but everything that we hear and see is forever recorded inside of our unconscious mind, and affects us for a long time. When we take in negative information it becomes a part of us and makes us more negative.

It turns out that the recent rise in gas prices is not bad news at all. It is totally natural. America has had the lowest prices in gas for decades, and the American public was totally unaware. In most other countries, gas cost at least twice as much as it did in the U.S. Even in developing countries, where the average income is far less than in America, gas cost twice as much. Americans have enjoyed the benefits of incredibly cheap gas for a long, long time, and didn’t even know it!

Its much easier to sit down on the sofa and watch the 6 o’clock news than it is to go to another country, rent a car, and see what it is like to drive around in another country. Most Americans have not even found out how much gas costs in other countries, let alone actually going to another country and seeing for themselves.

All this to say that the media has used gas prices to sell newspapers and increase viewership. But they have done nothing to help Americans understand that they have had a free ride for a long, long time.

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