Recently I launched a new business. It allows people to find their favorite Kindle books at a big discount.
Why bother launching a new business? One day, suddenly the idea came to me. When shopping on Amazon, I noticed that the price of a book can fluctuate wildly from one day to the next. The price could be $12.99 one day, and free the next.
Who has time to check the price every day? Wouldn’t it be great if there were a way to be notified when the book is on sale? That was the idea. And then I created the site.
If you are interested, you can check it out at Librosso.com. I would love to hear your feedback about how the service can be improved.
After launching the site, I began thinking about the different steps to business success. And that there is only one way to get from one step to the next: Action.
The Value of Action
It always amuses me when people talk about their bright idea like it is a valuable asset. Everybody has great ideas. But 99.99% of the time they don’t do anything about it.
After analyzing the traffic for the Online Investing AI blog, I became curious about the most popular post of all time. It turns out to be Rich Dad’s Cashflow Game is Now Free!. This got me thinking: why is this post so popular? Of all the Rich Dad posts, why do people love this one?
Rich Dad’s Cashflow Game
Perhaps it is because of the high price of the board game. When I last checked it cost over $100, compared to perhaps $20 for most board games. Does the Rich Dad game cost more to produce? No, it costs more because it is worth more.
It seems that we are entering a decisive period for the stock market. The S&P 500 is right at the top of a channel between 2,100 and 1,920. Although I don’t like technical analysis, it is pretty clear that if it rises significantly about 2,100, then a new bull market will start. Conversely, if it drops below 1,920 a major market crash may follow.
S&P 500 10 Year Chart
Although anyone with limited knowledge of technical analysis would come to the same conclusion, I imagine 100,000,000 would-be retirees don’t look at this chart. And even if they did, they would not be able to see its importance.
Although this may seem incredibly obvious, many people say that markets always go up. I remember during the real estate bubble that popped in 2008, agents were saying,
Real estate always goes up.
It’s pretty obvious now that is a lie. But it works for them. The clueless would-be investors that believed them bought up properties like there is no tomorrow. And for them, there wasn’t much of a tomorrow. Most of the properties went into foreclosure and were repurchased by more savvy investors.
When I read this and anlyzed some of the major market tops over the last 100 years, I was surprised by the accuracy of this statement. (One major exception was the 2000 Tech Bubble, which was quite different from other market dynamics.)
S&P 500 Jan 2011 – 2016
The theory behind this is that the “smart money” figures out that a market is topping long before the average Joe. I’m not sure if I agree with the theory, but it does seem to me that the “stupid money” gets out way too late, after the market has dropped significantly.
One of the biggest hurdles that the individual investor faces in trying to create a nimble, smart portfolio is the competition.
Investment bankers, quants, mutual fund companies, and big Wall Street firms are employing Ph.D. researchers with degrees in everything from finance to physics to create model portfolios. They use the latest and most powerful technology to guide their buys and sells.
The little guy doesn’t have a chance.
That’s what I thought, until last week. George and I had a chance to see a demonstration of Chaikin Analytics, probably one of the most complete set of investment tools and stock market model-building technology that’s available for the money. Or at least I’ve ever seen.
All retirees end up asking themselves if they should cash in their chips and make a smooth, profitable exit from the stocks game. Having nurtured their portfolios through the years, they sometimes feel uneasy about selling their stock assets. After all, a lot of time has gone by, watching them, believing in them, having them generating income, even if poor at times. Many retirees know that they could generate some extra cushion by unloading their stocks, but they just can’t seem to fathom the act.
It’s important to remember why you started accumulating stocks in the first place. In most cases, it was simply a matter of developing a tangible financial portfolio; something that you created to make life better for the future of you and your loved ones. Well, have your stocks done that? Maybe you took a heavy hit back in 2008. Maybe you’re just recovering – and stock markets are doing just about as good as you could hope for right now. Maybe it is time time to cash them in. You can try the superannuation calculator over at Suncorp, if you need a hand figuring out how much you need to retire.
What exactly is a franchise business?
There may be some slight variations from one situation to another but on the whole, this involves buying what is effectively a license from someone to open up your own business operating under their corporate umbrella and brand. It is a very familiar business model and offers the advantage of you being able to join a winning brand rather than needing to come up with your own business idea and develop it accordingly.
What are the main advantages of a franchise?
As touched on above, you are theoretically jumping onto the bandwagon of an existing successful company and that may be worth a lot to you.
Other things that might come as part of the package, though not always so do check, might be: Continue reading →
Bitcoin has started to rise again, and it looks like it might be the start of the next Bitcoin bubble. Although many people have known about Bitcoin for years, most people have not purchased any coins and do not understand it.
Many people think that this is a great time to buy gold. However, the same people who are saying that now were saying it when gold was at $1,800 per oz.
The price of gold has fluctuated over the last 5 years.
Personally, I think it is better to hold gold than dollars. The dollar is collapsing, and I think it will continue to collapse over the next decades. However, that does not mean that everyone should go out and buy gold.